The Pension Series (Part 17): Buying Years – A Case Study

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The Set Up

A reader (let’s call her Buffy) recently asked me if I could help her and her husband (let’s call him Angel) determine if “buying years back” from Angel’s pension would be worth it. For those of you unfamiliar with the concept of “buying years back”, it basically means under certain circumstances a worker can pay the pension fund to add years onto their final pension calculation. I only learned of the concept of “buying years” after starting this blog. Although the concept appears common in many European retirement systems, and the Canadian national system; the feature is reserved for public pension systems at the local, state, and (non-military) federal level in the U.S. The worker usually qualifies through special circumstances like prior military service (that fell short of pension eligibility), or previous participation in a separate public pension system (e.g. a teacher who moves from one school system to another).

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Gutting It Out: What’s Worked For Me … So Far

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True Story Time

I was soliciting ideas for blog articles the other day in the Financial Independence (FI) pensioners’ Facebook Group I started called Golden Albatross/Golden Handcuffs. I floated the idea “Coping Strategies For the Last Few Years (i.e. Gutting It Out)” and received the following response from one of my group members:

“I have 6 years. Help me gut it out, and keep my eyes on the prize.”

Six-years eh? That’s probably not an all-to-uncommon time-frame for a person to lose motivation for their job, no matter the reason. I find that pension earners tend to get that “trapped” feeling near the end of their career. That isn’t the same feeling as my self-described Golden Albatross situation. I define the Golden Albatross as the tension a person feels between staying or leaving a pensionable career. In this case, the trapped feeling to which I refer comes after a person decides to stay at a job in order to earn a pension, but before that person can retire with a pension’s full benefits. That’s where I find that “gutting it out” truly comes into play, and it’s the topic I want to concentrate on in today’s post. Continue reading →

Trade War Part Quatre: 3-to-9 Year Investment Mitigation Strategies

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Last Call

This is the last article in my Trump Trade War series. In it, I address investment strategies to mitigate what I perceive as the worst potential effects of the Trump Trade War for investors on a three to nine-year investment horizon. This is by far the hardest time period for which to devise investment strategies due to the uncertainty surrounding the next potential recession and Bear Market. However, I felt I owed it to my readers who’ve stuck with this series thus far, and to those who also find themselves within this investing window. Continue reading →

Trade War Part Trois: Two and Ten-Year Investment Mitigation Strategies

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Trump Trade War Investment Mitigation Strategies

No trademark long-winded Grumpus Maximus preamble for this article. However, since this is part three in a series about the Trump Trade War’s potential impact on your bottom line; I suggest you read parts one and two prior to reading this. You’ll need the context from the previous two articles for this post to make sense. In the second article, specifically, I explained Risk, Risk Tolerance, and Risk Capacity. I also laid out my investment philosophy. As you’ll see in the next few articles, I refer to Risk and my investment philosophy continuously.

Assuming everyone is up to speed, I suppose it’s time to talk Trump Trade War Investment Mitigation Strategies (T-TWIMS), right? Hang on while I run out and register the trademark on T-TWIMS … OK, I’m back! I’ll assume that’s a “yes” since you’re still reading. Well then, what’s your investing timeline or time horizon? In other words, when will you need the money? Continue reading →

Trade War Part Deux: Risk Mitigation

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Trump’s Trade War

Risk Mitigation

What’s the worst that could happen?

Hey! How’s it going? In my previous post on President Trump’s Trade War, and its potential to impact your wallet and retirement, I mentioned a future post where I would outline prudent risk mitigation measures an investor might take. Given the fact that the main front of the Trump Trade War kicked off for reals with China on 06 July 2018, it seemed appropriate to pen further articles now. I’ve seen nothing in the intervening days to change my gloomy outlook. In fact, I may have underestimated how bad this situation might get.

I’m getting ahead of myself though. For those of you who missed the first Trump Trade War article, you can find it here. In it, I outlined what I thought was a significant misunderstanding of macroeconomics and strategy (or is that strategery?) within the Trump administration. I showed how the steps they’ve taken on tariffs, free-trade, taxes, and immigration seemed specifically designed to make the next recession worse. I also opined that the administration’s actions may be hastening the onset of the next recession through inflationary pressures. While I bemoaned the idea of a three front trade war, two of which are against some of our closest allies and trading partners; I didn’t necessarily dismiss the need for action on China. Only the method. Continue reading →

The Pension Series (Part 16): VA Disability

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Friendship Is Rare

Does anyone have a friend that dates back to first grade? I don’t mean an acquaintance either. I mean someone that’s been there almost your entire life through thick and thin. Someone who is more like a brother or a sister than a friend. I’m happy to report that I got one. I’m also happy to report that he decided to write an article for my blog!

Now, I believe it’s good etiquette that people who host blogs introduce anyone who writes a guest post. In fact, that’s what Darrow Kirkpatrick did for me when I wrote Part 8 of the Pension Series for his blog. However, in this case, my friend interwove his story into the blog post. So instead of a long-winded introduction, I’ll simply say:

Here’s a great post on the tax benefits of VA disability from a best friend of mine that I’ve known since 1982!

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The Trade War Will Not Be Televised …

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… But, It Will Be Tweeted

Tariff by bloody tariff apparently.

Yes folks that’s right, despite all the talk of North Korean nukes, the Singapore summit, and “historic” de-nuclearization agreements reached (which were apparently the same as previous historic agreements); something far more sinister and much less subtle occurred recently — and I’m not talking about U.S. -sponsored human rights abuse committed along the U.S.-Mexico border either. No, I refer to the fact that U.S. President Donald Trump, and his team of economic advisors (and I use that term loosely), saw fit to consummate the trade war they’d been threatening since early 2018 … with the entire world!

Trade War

Why the entire world Mr. President?

In the last weeks of late-May and first weeks of early-June 2018, President Trump canceled all country-based exceptions to the 25% steel and 10% aluminum tariffs he imposed earlier in 2018. This move angered long-time allies and trading partners around the world including our North American Free Trade  (NAFTA) Partners Canada and Mexico; the European Union (EU); and other countries such as Brazil, Japan, and India. In retaliation, the EU  enacted counter-tariffs on U.S. imports; prompting further tariffs threats from President Trump on European cars. The EU also lodged an official complaint to the World Trade Organization (WTO), and Harley Davidson announced it is transferring some production to Europe to avoid the tariffs on its motorcycles sold in Europe. Continue reading →

The Pension Series (Part 15): The Pension Benefit Guarantee Corporation (PBGC)

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Rushin’ Headlong

PBGC

Wrong type of rushin’

It’s time to take on the somewhat controversial topic of the PBGC. I touched upon it already in several previous posts. In fact, I mentioned it as early as Part 1 of the Pension Series, and as recently as Post 14. Yet, I never tackled it head-on; so it feels like I’m overdue for an article on the PBGC specifically. I was half-hoping someone in my Facebook Group had experience with it because primary sources are always best when researching a topic. However, given the typical conditions attached to the PBGC’s intervention in a pension fund, it’s better that no one has.

Now, for those of you who are thinking, “PBGC? WTF is the PBGC?”, I hear you. I departed from my typical pattern with this post. Normally I warm up my audience with a nice long intro that culminates in an explanation of the topic at hand. However, I dispensed with the niceties this time. With that said, it’s probably best if I at least explain what the PBGC is for anyone who doesn’t know or doesn’t remember. Continue reading →

The Pension Series (Part 14): Pension Risk Transfer

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The Prodigal Series Returns

Welcome back to the Pension Series everyone! I hope you didn’t interpret my several month hiatus (from the series) as a lack of interest in the intersection between pensions and Financial Independence (FI). If you did, then let me assure you that I remain committed to the topic. In fact, my Facebook Group members can attest that I typically post one or two articles a week to prompt discussion on the topic of pensions and FI. That said, I must admit after the rush to write and publish parts 11 through 13 of the Pension Series, it took me a while to find more content that met my standards. At this point in the series, I look for topics that I haven’t already addressed; that help my readers navigate the Golden Albatross decision; and/or enable planning for FI using a pension.

The Search Is Over

Luckily, I recently found a few more topics which deserve examination. Several of the latest topics stem from articles I posted in my Facebook Group. In fact, it wasn’t until I posted an article about FedEx transferring a large portion of its pension fund to Met Life in my Facebook Group, that I realized the topic of pension risk transfer deserved an entire article itself.

In the past few months I’ve noted several stories from both the U.S. and U.K. about companies transferring some or all of their pension funds to insurance companies. The FedEx story started a conversation in my Facebook Group about winners and losers in risk transfer scenarios where a pension fund transfers obligations to an insurance company. Between the company who owns the pension fund, the insurance company, and the plan participants; most of the respondents from my group seemed to think the plan participants (i.e. current and future pensioners) lost. I must admit that I agreed.

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Debate Club Round 2: Risk, Rationality, and Efficiency

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Welcome Back Debate Fans!

Are you ready for Grumpus to grumble about the concept of investing the Emergency Fund (EF) in equities?

Or should I say “GGGGGRRRRUUUUMMMMBBBLLLLEEE” in my best sport’s announcer’s voice?

A Quick Recap

I’m back with another round of Debate Club. I hope everyone enjoyed round one. Just to re-cap, ChooseFI episode 66 prompted this series of articles in response to the idea of investing an EF. In episode 66, and the follow-up episode 66R, Brad and Jonathan (the hosts) enthusiastically endorsed Big Ern’s (the guest’s) idea that the traditional EF, invested in some sort of cash or cash-equivalent account, was a bad move. Instead, all three agreed it made more sense that a person invest their EF in equities.

In response, I argued in my first article of this series that Episode 66 lacked nuance and suffered from a mistaken definition of the EF. In other words, Ern, Jonathan, and Brad set up a strawman argument and easily knocked it down. By the end of the first article, I created what I felt was a level playing field on which to engage in a debate about the merits and drawbacks of their argument. Thus, I moved on to the second article. Continue reading →