The Pension Series (Part 18): Social Security – The People’s Pension

Waffles and Chicken(shit)

I’ve waffled in recent weeks on the need to write a post about Social Security for the Pension Series. On the one hand, since the American form of Social Security pays out in annuity form, it seems like a relevant topic for the Series. Plus, an overwhelming majority of American workers pay into the program. Therefore, it’s the sole remaining Defined Benefit Plan (DBP) that almost all Americans workers still have access to in retirement. Finally, because almost everyone’s eligible for Social Security in America, there’s uncertainty surrounding the future financial viability of the program. That uncertainty alone is enough to justify the need for an article since much of the Pension Series is built around the idea of quantifying the uncertainty surrounding pensions.

On the other hand, there are a lot of drawbacks to writing an article on Social Security. First and foremost, is the sheer number of articles already written about the subject. From books to news articles, to blogs, and podcasts; I doubt there’s a format of media that hasn’t been utilized to discuss Social Security in the USA. That’s partly due to the fact that Social Security is an extremely controversial topic. Since nearly everyone’s entitled to it, nearly everyone has a strong opinion about it. In fact, the government calls it an entitlement, and as an entitlement, it’s earned a reputation as a third rail in American politics — meaning a politician touches it at their own peril much like the electrified third rail in a subway system. Continue reading

The Pension Series (Part 12): More Pension Lump Sum Analysis (Updated)

Nerd Alert!

This article is a follow-up on the lump sum case study I conducted for the ChooseFI listener, Tess, in Part 11 of the Pension Series. If you missed it, that case study also aired as Episode 58R on the ChooseFI Podcast. I mentally debated if I should make this Part 11a considering the links between the two articles.  However, given this article’s length, and the alternate pension lump sum analysis method it outlines, I decided it warrants its own part in the series.

I’ll warn you now, this article is another deep dive into the world of pension lump sum offers. It won’t be my last either. Pension lump sum analysis is a rabbit hole. As I pointed out in my previous article, there’s no one correct method. A lot depends on what the pensioner values and the questions they are trying to answer. Proper analysis is also based on the strings attached to either the lump sum or the annuities.

pension lump sum analysis

Hello? Can anyone up there hear me? I got stuck down here analyzing my pension lump sum!

Fortunately, as a result of my appearance on ChooseFI 58R, several people reached out to discuss methods of calculating pension value and conducting lump sum analysis. We are currently in the process of compiling a spreadsheet with many of those methods baked in. It’s not quite ready though. So, for now, you have to put up with another wordy pension lump sum analysis from yours truly. Forewarned is forearmed. Continue reading